Oil price system released on August 31, the data show that as of August 30, the the three crude moving average rate of change has reached 6.87%, while the refined oil price adjustment will meet on September 10 "22 days"conditions, oil prices may be raised again.
Analysts believe that the recent international oil prices remain high and volatile, or the possibility of a slight decline. Three crude oil prices to maintain the current level, to the price adjustment window open day, the rate of change of the three is expected to reach about 8%, the Development and Reform Commission finally announced gasoline and diesel price rises are expected to be higher than the last 390 yuan / ton, or expected to be reached 500 yuan / ton.
This year, the international crude oil prices have been affected by the global liberal economic policies and the support of the Middle East geopolitical crisis two factors.
Analysts believe that the recent negative factors on oil prices already showing suppress trend. Kam Tai Lu Hui, futures analyst in the research report said that the recent negative factors of crude oil more example, the uncertainty of the European debt problems inhibit risk appetite, the United States and the International Energy Agency may release crude oil reserves, the U.S. dollar medium-term is difficult to continuing weakness in Europe and the United States 9,10 traditional demand off-season is coming. He believes that the probability of the recent sharp rise in oil prices is not likely to continue high order.
Analysts believe that the finished oil price hike would be positive for the refining segment, plus imports of crude oil prices, domestic oil companies refining segment results expected in September will be enhanced.
The average price of imported crude oil in July compared with the first half significant decline, the average import price of $ 99 / barrel, more than 10% qoq decline. Look combined with international oil prices, the average price of imported crude oil is expected in August will be essentially unchanged from July.
August 10, after the oil price increases, domestic refineries basic breakeven. If prices rise again in September, the third quarter results of the refining industry is expected to be raised.